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Market Outlook for the coming week 15 JULY 2017

market outlook

Market Outlook for the coming week!

In the coming week, first quarter results, macroeconomic data, progress of monsoon rains, trend in global markets, investment by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs), the movement of rupee against the dollar and crude oil price movement will dictate trend on the bourses.

Investors brace up as the Q1 June 2017 earnings of India Inc pick up pace next week.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) in its weekly weather report on Thursday, 13 July 2017, said that for the country as a whole, cumulative rainfall during this year’s southwest monsoon season has so far upto 12 July 2017 is 1% below Long Period Average (LPA).

Overseas, China will unveil GDP data for second quarter on Sunday, 16 July 2017. China’s industrial production data for June 2017 will be unveiled on Sunday, 16 July 2017.

Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June will be declared on Monday, 17 July 2017.

Eurozone interest rate decision will be held on Thursday, 20 July 2017. The six members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board and the 16 governors of the euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate.

ECONOMIC DATA

Date 7:24am Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph
MonJul 17 5:00am EUR Final CPI y/y 1.3% 1.3%
EUR Final Core CPI y/y 1.1% 1.1%
8:30am CAD Foreign Securities Purchases 9.78B 10.60B
USD Empire State Manufacturing Index 15.2 19.8
6:45pm NZD CPI q/q 0.2% 1.0%
9:30pm AUD Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
AUD New Motor Vehicle Sales m/m 2.9%
TueJul 18 4:30am GBP CPI y/y 2.9% 2.9%
GBP PPI Input m/m -0.8% -1.3%
GBP RPI y/y 3.6% 3.7%
GBP Core CPI y/y 2.6% 2.6%
GBP HPI y/y 3.2% 5.6%
GBP PPI Output m/m 0.1% 0.1%
5:00am EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment 17.6 18.6
EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment 37.2 37.7
8:30am USD Import Prices m/m -0.2% -0.3%
9:30am GBP BOE Gov Carney Speaks
10:00am USD NAHB Housing Market Index 67 67
Tentative NZD GDT Price Index -0.4%
4:00pm USD TIC Long-Term Purchases 20.3B 1.8B
8:30pm AUD MI Leading Index m/m 0.0%
WedJul 19 Tentative EUR German 30-y Bond Auction 1.02|2.0
8:30am CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m 0.8% 1.1%
USD Building Permits 1.20M 1.17M
USD Housing Starts 1.16M 1.09M
10:30am AUD CB Leading Index m/m 0.5%
USD Crude Oil Inventories -7.6M
7:50pm JPY Trade Balance 0.12T 0.13T
9:30pm AUD Employment Change 15.3K 42.0K
AUD Unemployment Rate 5.6% 5.5%
AUD NAB Quarterly Business Confidence 6
Tentative JPY Monetary Policy Statement
ThuJul 20 Tentative JPY BOJ Outlook Report
Tentative JPY BOJ Policy Rate -0.10% -0.10%
12:30am JPY All Industries Activity m/m -0.8% 2.1%
2:00am CHF Trade Balance 2.89B 3.40B
EUR German PPI m/m -0.1% -0.2%
2:30am JPY BOJ Press Conference
4:00am EUR Current Account 23.3B 22.2B
4:30am GBP Retail Sales m/m 0.3% -1.2%
7:45am EUR Minimum Bid Rate 0.00% 0.00%
8:30am EUR ECB Press Conference
USD Unemployment Claims 245K 247K
USD Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 23.8 27.6
Tentative EUR Spanish 10-y Bond Auction 1.40|1.8
10:00am EUR Consumer Confidence -1 -1
USD CB Leading Index m/m 0.4% 0.3%
10:30am USD Natural Gas Storage 57B
6:45pm NZD Visitor Arrivals m/m -3.0%
11:00pm NZD Credit Card Spending y/y 7.6%
11:40pm AUD RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speaks
FriJul 21 12:15am AUD RBA Assist Gov Bullock Speaks
4:30am GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing 4.3B 6.0B
8:30am CAD CPI m/m 0.0% 0.1%
CAD Core Retail Sales m/m 0.4% 1.5%
CAD Common CPI y/y 1.3%
CAD Median CPI y/y 1.5%
CAD Retail Sales m/m 0.5% 0.8%
CAD Trimmed CPI y/y 1.2%
CAD Core CPI m/m 0.1%
SatJul 22
SunJul 23 8:30pm JPY Flash Manufacturing PMI 52.4

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