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CAPITALSTARS – MCX COMMODITY MORNING MARKET NEWS UPDATES – 4 JAN 2019

Morning-Commodities-Market-updates-1

BULLION:

Bullion counter may continue its upside momentum as gold prices rose to a fresh 6-1/2 month high on Friday as tumbling share markets on the back of weak U.S. data fanned fears of a global economic slowdown, putting the safe haven metal on track for a third weekly gain. Global markets were on edge on Friday as dire U.S. economic data slammed Wall Street and pushed investors to bet the Federal Reserve could reverse its policy tightening before the end of this year. Gold can test 32000 in MCX taking support near 31650 in MCX and silver can move further upwards towards 39800. Markets are awaiting the December payrolls report on Friday and will look for clues on U.S. interest rates when Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell meets former Fed chairs Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke later in the day. Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust GLD, the world’s largest gold-backed exchangetraded fund, rose to 795.31 tonnes, their highest since early August, indicating investor appetite for the precious metal.

METALS:

Base metals prices may witness some lower level buying after the steep fall witnessed yesterday. China’s economic growth could fall below 6.5 percent in the fourth quarter as companies face increased difficulties, a central bank magazine said on Wednesday. China’s factory activity contracted for the first time in 19 months in December as domestic and export orders weakened further, a private survey showed. Mining companies operating in Zambia have failed to show how higher taxes introduced this year will affect their profitability despite objecting to the new framework, a senior government official said on Thursday. Copper can take key support near 396-395 range and can recover towards 410. London copper rose more than 1 percent on Friday on bargain buying although the market is poised for its biggest weekly decline in almost two months on worries over slowing consumption in top consumer China.

ENERGY:

Crude oil may trade in range on mixed fundamentals .Oil prices dropped on Friday after the United States followed most other major economies into a manufacturing downturn, although supply cuts by producer club OPEC kept declines in check. Crude oil can face stiff resistance near 3340 while it can take support near 3240. Despite the global market turmoil, traders said oil prices are expected to receive some support as supply cuts announced late last year by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) start to kick in. OPEC oil supply fell by 460,000 barrels per day (bpd) between November and December, to 32.68 million bpd, a Reuters survey found on Thursday, as top exporter Saudi Arabia made an early start to a supply-limiting accord, while Iran and Libya posted involuntary declines.

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