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CAPITALSTARS – MCX COMMODITY MARKET NEWS & LEVELS – 05 DEC 2018

Commodities-Market-1

Gold prices steady as dollar edges higher.

Gold prices were steady early Wednesday as the dollar edged up, while palladium dipped from record highs touched in the previous session but was in close proximity to the bullion. Spot gold was at $1,236.85 per ounce at 0121 GMT. In the previous session, prices touched a peak of $1,241.86, their highest since Oct. 26. US gold futures were down 0.4 per cent at $1,241.4 per ounce. One of the most influential Federal Reserve policymakers said on Tuesday he expects further interest rate hikes continuing next year since the US economy is “in really good shape,” reinforcing the Fed’s upbeat tone in the face of growing doubts in financial markets. US President Donald Trump on Tuesday held out the possibility of an extension of the 90-day trade truce with China, but warned he would revert to tariffs if the two sides could not resolve their differences.

Copper prices are expected to stay at highs as a ceasefire in the US-China trade war.

London copper fell to close at $6,168.5/mt overnight as shorts built their bets on the recovery of the US dollar. The SHFE 1902 contract slid to close at 49,230 yuan/mt after a lower open overnight. Copper prices are likely to remain range bound at lows today with a trading range of $6,150-6,200/mt for LME copper and of 49,200-49,700 yuan/mt for the SHFE 1902 contract. Spot premiums are seen at 110-260 yuan/mt.

Weak domestic fundamentals could provide nickel with limited upward momentum.

London nickel relinquished earlier gains and closed at $11,130/mt overnight as the US dollar climbed. The SHFE 1901 contract tumbled and closed at 90,740 yuan/mt overnight as gains in the dollar encouraged shorts to add bets and forced longs to cut bets. LME nickel is expected to weaken to hover around $11,100/mt today and the SHFE 1901 contract is expected to trade at 90,500-92,000 yuan/mt. Spot prices are seen at 90,500-99,500 yuan/mt.

OPEC Deal in Balance as Saudi Arabia, Russia Gather for Talks.

With less than 48 hours to go before a critical OPEC gathering, Saudi Arabia and Russia are set to meet in Vienna for a make-or-break preparatory meeting on Wednesday that’s going to set the direction for the oil market. The stakes are high after crude prices suffered their largest monthly drop since the global financial crisis in November, and politicians from U.S. President Donald Trump to French President Emmanuel Macron have called on OPEC to keep energy prices in check. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih on Tuesday cautioned an output deal wasn’t done — at least not yet. In an interview with Bloomberg, Al-Falih said that it was “premature” to say that the OPEC+ group, which includes allies such as Russia and Kazakhstan, will agree to cut output. His comments were less bullish than last month’s statements in Abu Dhabi when he called for 1 million barrels a day of production cuts. Crude gave up much of its gains on Tuesday following his comments. The opportunity for countries to put their cards on the table comes on Wednesday at the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, the panel that oversees the 2016 deal between OPEC and its allies.

Precious Metals

CS GOLD (FEB) OVERVIEW:
TREND : BULLISH
RESIST 2: 31100
RESIST 1: 31000
SUP 1: 30800
SUP 2: 30700

CS SILVER (MAR) OVERVIEW:
TREND : BULLISH
RESIST 2: 37500
RESIST 1: 37300
SUP 1: 37000
SUP 2: 36800

Base Metals

CS COPPER (FEB) OVERVIEW:
TREND : SIDEWAYS
RESIST 2: 446.00
RESIST 1: 442.00
SUP 1: 434.00
SUP 2: 430.00

CS NICKEL (NOV) OVERVIEW:
TREND : SIDEWAYS
RESIST 2: 800.00
RESIST 1: 790.00
SUP 1: 780.00
SUP 2: 770.00

CS ZINC (DEC) OVERVIEW:
TREND : BEARISH
RESIST 2: 186.00
RESIST 1: 184.00
SUP 1: 182.00
SUP 2: 180.00

CS LEAD (NOV) OVERVIEW:
TREND : SIDEWAYS
RESIST 2: 141.00
RESIST 1: 139.00
SUP 1: 137.00
SUP 2: 135.00

CS ALUMINIUM (NOV) OVERVIEW:
TREND : SIDEWAYS
RESIST 2: 142.00
RESIST 1: 140.50
SUP 1: 139.00
SUP 2: 138.00

Energies

CS CRUDE OIL (DEC) OVERVIEW:
TREND : BEARISH
RESIST 2: 3850
RESIST 1: 3800
SUP 1: 3700
SUP 2: 3650

CS NATURAL GAS (DEC) OVERVIEW:
TREND : SIDEWAYS
RESIST 2: 325.00
RESIST 1: 320.00
SUP 1: 315.00
SUP 2: 310.00

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